Prescription Opioids Play Only Minor Role in Overdose Crisis

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

The role of prescription opioids in the nation’s overdose crisis continues to shrink.

In a new study from the drug testing firm Millennium Health, researchers say multiple substances were found last year in nearly 93% of urine samples in which fentanyl was detected. That is not altogether surprising, as “polysubstance” use increased as fentanyl came to dominate the illicit drug supply, appearing in more and more street drugs such as heroin, cocaine and methamphetamine.

What is surprising is the minimal role that prescription opioids now play. In 2013, opioid pain medication was the most common substance found in fentanyl-positive drug tests in the United States, appearing in over 70% of urine samples.  A decade later, prescription opioids were detected in less than one in ten samples — ranking far behind methamphetamine, cannabis, cocaine and heroin.

In fact, you are about twice as likely to find two other medications -- benzodiazepines (15.8%) and gabapentin (13.3%) -- than you are prescription opioids (7.6%) in urine samples testing positive for fentanyl.

Substances Detected in Fentanyl-Positive Drug Tests (2023)

MILLEnNIUM HEALTH

Millennium based its findings on over 4.1 million urine drug tests (UDTs) collected from 2013 to 2023 and analyzed through mass spectrometry. Because many of those samples came from people being treated for a substance use disorder, they offer a clear insight into drug trends that are driving the overdose crisis.

Now in its “fourth wave,” Millennium says a tidal shift has occurred in the so-called opioid epidemic, with illicit drug users far more likely to use non-opioid substances like stimulants than prescription opioids.

“National, regional, and state-level UDT data all suggest that people who use fentanyl are now, intentionally or unintentionally, much more likely to also use methamphetamine and cocaine,” the report found. “The results of our analyses also reveal shifting patterns of opioid use among those who use fentanyl. More specifically, they showed progressive declines in prescription opioid use from 2015 to 2023.”

The declining role of prescription opioids can be traced back to the 2016 CDC opioid guideline and a multiyear campaign by the DEA to slash opioid production quotas, which has reduced the supply of oxycodone and hydrocodone by about two-thirds. There is little evidence either of those federal efforts reduced the number of overdoses. The CDC estimates there were over 111,000 drug deaths in the 12-month period ending in September 2023 — nearly double the number of fatal overdoses in 2016.

The growing use of stimulants such as methamphetamine makes it difficult for public health campaigns to address the problem. Unlike opioids, there are no FDA-approved medications for stimulant use disorder, leaving behavioral therapies and abstinence as the only “evidence-based” treatments for people with a stimulant problem.

“Stimulants are a serious national challenge emphasizing the need for continued progress on the national plan to address methamphetamine supply, use, and consequences,” Millennium said.

Lack of Education Is Fueling Overdose Crisis

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

Anti-opioid activists have long claimed that excessive prescribing of opioids over a decade ago created an “epidemic of addiction” that lingers to this day. Once hooked on prescription opioids, patients turned to stronger and more lethal drugs — like heroin and illicit fentanyl — sending the overdose rate to record levels.

A large new study debunks that theory, showing that socioeconomic factors – particularly lack of education -- play a hidden but central role in the overdose crisis.

"The analysis shows that the opioid crisis increasingly has become a crisis involving Americans without any college education," said lead author David Powell, PhD, a senior economist at RAND, a nonprofit research organization. "The study suggests large and growing education disparities within all racial and ethnic groups --- disparities that have accelerated since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic."

Powell looked at data from the National Vital Statistics System from 2000 to 2021, and identified over 912,000 fatal overdoses for which there was education information on the people who died.

His findings, published in JAMA Health Forum, show that overdose deaths increased sharply among Americans without a college education and nearly doubled in recent years for those who don’t have a high school diploma. The findings are notable because they came during a period when per capita consumption of prescription opioids plummeted, sinking to levels last seen in 2000.

For people with no college education, the overdose death rate increased from 12 deaths per 100,000 individuals in 2000 to 82 deaths per 100,000 in 2021. That rate is sharply higher than Americans who have some college education. In 2000, their overdose rate was 4.6 deaths per 100,000 people, which rose to 18.6 deaths per 100,000 in 2021.

Trends in Overdose Deaths by Educational Attainment

JAMA HEALTH FORUM

Powell is not the first researcher to link socioeconomic factors to overdose deaths. The so-called “deaths of despair” were first reported in 2015 by Princeton researchers Angus Deaton and Anne Case, who found that economic, social and emotional stress were major factors in the reduced life expectancy of middle-aged white Americans, who increasingly turned to substance abuse to dull their physical and emotional pain.

Education plays a significant role in socioeconomic status. People without college degrees are more likely to have blue-collar jobs requiring manual labor, which raise the risk of work-related injuries and conditions such as arthritis. One recent study found that people who did not finish high school in West Virginia, Arkansas and Alabama were three times more likely to have joint pain compared to those with bachelor degrees in California, Nevada and Utah.

“Overall, the analysis suggests that the opioid crisis has increasingly become a crisis disproportionately impacting those without any college education. Research is needed to understand the driving forces behind this gradient, such as isolating the independent roles of differences in income, employment, family composition, health care access, and other factors,” said Powell.

“Overdose death rates grew during the COVID-19 pandemic, and the education gradient increased further, although it is unclear what role the pandemic had relative to changes in fentanyl penetration in illicit drug markets and other factors.”

Powell says education merits further attention in understanding how and why the opioid crisis continues to intensify and lower U.S. life-expectancy.

CDC Study Shows Oxycodone Plays Minor Role in Overdose Crisis

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

A new study by the CDC highlights the sharply rising death toll in the U.S. caused by illicit fentanyl, while at the same time revealing the minor role played by oxycodone in the nation’s overdose crisis.

The study, released this week by the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics, looked at overdose death rates from 2016 to 2021. Deaths involving fentanyl more than tripled during that period, rising from 5.7 deaths per 100,000 people in 2016 to 21.6 deaths per 100,000 in 2021. Drug deaths involving methamphetamine and cocaine also rose sharply, while fatal overdoses involving heroin declined.

And what about oxycodone, the most commonly prescribed opioid pain medication? It turns out oxycodone has always played a relatively minor role in the overdose crisis, although regulators and public health officials said otherwise in a concerted campaign against all prescription opioids.

“Overprescribing opioids – largely for chronic pain – is a key driver of America’s drug overdose epidemic,” then-CDC director Dr. Thomas Frieden said in a 2016 news release.

But the facts don’t support Frieden’s claim. In 2016, the year the CDC released its controversial opioid prescribing guideline, there were only 1.9 deaths per 100,000 people that involved oxycodone. By 2021, the rate had fallen 21% to 1.5 deaths -- well below the death rates of fentanyl, methamphetamine, cocaine and heroin.   

Drug Overdose Deaths in U.S. (2016-2021)

SOURCE: CDC

CDC researchers used an unusual method to conduct this study. Instead of relying on medical ICD-10 codes in death certificates, which lump drugs together into broad categories, the CDC used a “literal text” analysis.

“To address the limitations of ICD–10- coded mortality data, the National Center for Health Statistics has developed a method that searches the literal text of death certificates to identify mentions of specific drugs and other substances involved in the death. Death certificate literal text is the written information provided by the medical certifier, usually a medical examiner or coroner for drug overdose deaths, that describes the causes, manner, and circumstances contributing to the death,” the researchers explained.

Flawed Data

The literal text method is not foolproof, but it’s an improvement over the ICD-10 codes, which the CDC admitted in 2018 “significantly inflate” the number of deaths involving prescription opioids — flawed data that Frieden used to make his “key driver” of the epidemic claim in 2016.

How inflated were the overdose numbers back then?  Using the old ICD-10 method, which counted illicit fentanyl as a prescription opioid, Frieden’s CDC estimated that nearly 32,500 Americans died from overdoses of opioid medication in 2016. The death toll was later revised downward to about 17,000 overdoses after the CDC came clean about its flawed methodology.

Patient advocate Richard “Red” Lawhern has long been suspicious of CDC data, including studies that use literal text analysis.  

“CDC suggests an incidence of drug overdose deaths ‘involving’ oxycodone at only 1.5 per 100,000.  But they neatly avoid telling us that such a rate is so low that it confounds the non-uniformity of reporting from county to county, creating such statistical noise that the contribution of this agent (oxycodone) to overdose mortality is too small to accurately measure or report,” Lawhern said.  

Another problem is the qualifications of county coroners and medical examiners varies. Some are elected to their positions without any medical training or experience. The death certificates they fill out usually don’t say if a prescription drug was obtained legally or illicitly, or what specific drug or combination of substances caused the death. That is determined later by a toxicology test. As a result, a drug may be “involved” in a death and be listed on the death certificate, but have little or nothing to do with someone’s demise.

“It is startling that CDC has so consistently and deliberately conspired to disguise the fact that oxycodone really isn't significant in drug overdose mortality, and probably never has been,” Lawhern told PNN. 

Of course, every death is a tragedy in some way, regardless of the cause or substance involved. The graphic below helps bring oxycodone’s role into more context – comparing the five leading causes of death in 2021 to those involving fentanyl, oxycodone and the other drugs.

SOURCE: CDC

Despite the minor role played by oxycodone in 2021 deaths, efforts continue to restrict its availability. This year the Drug Enforcement Administration reduced the supply of oxycodone for the seventh consecutive year. Since their peak in 2013, DEA production quotas for oxycodone have fallen by 65 percent. The tightened supply has resulted in recent reports of oxycodone shortages and patients unable to get their prescriptions filled.

The DEA justifies the cuts by saying it is concerned about diversion and abuse, but the agency’s own data shows that less than one percent of legally prescribed oxycodone (0.3%) is diverted to someone it was not intended for.

Drug Tests Show Pain Patients on Opioids Less Likely to Use Illicit Drugs

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

In an effort to reduce soaring rates of drug abuse and overdoses, many physicians have taken their pain patients off opioids and switched them to “safer” non-opioid drugs like pregabalin, gabapentin and duloxetine. Others have encouraged their patients to try non-pharmacological treatments, such as acupuncture, massage and meditation.

That strategy may be backfiring, according to a large new study by Millennium Health, which found that pain patients prescribed opioids are significantly less likely to use illicit drugs than pain patients not getting opioids.

The drug testing firm analyzed urine drug samples from 2019 to 2021 for nearly 55,000 patients being treated by U.S. pain management specialists. About 80% of the patients were prescribed an opioid like oxycodone or hydrocodone, while the other 20% were not prescribed opioids.

Millennium researchers say detectable levels of illicit fentanyl, heroin, methamphetamine and cocaine were far more likely to be found in the urine of non-opioid patients than those who were prescribed opioids. For example, illicit fentanyl was detected in 2.21% of the patients not getting an opioid, compared to 1.169% of those who were. The findings were similar for heroin, methamphetamine and cocaine.

“In all cases, we found that the population that was not prescribed an opioid was significantly more likely to be positive for an illicit drug than those patients who were prescribed opioids,” said lead author Penn Whitley, Director of Bioinformatics at Millennium. “(There was) a 40 to 60 percent increase in the likelihood of being positive if you were not prescribed an opioid.”

Illicit Drug Use By Pain Patients

MILLENNIUM HEALTH

What do the findings mean? Are pain patients getting ineffective non-opioid therapies so desperate for relief that they’re turning to illicit drugs? That’s possible, but the study doesn’t address that specifically.

Another possibility is that patients on opioids are simply being more cautious and careful about their drug use. Opioid prescribing in the U.S. has fallen by 48% over the past five years, with many patients being forcibly tapered or abandoned by doctors who feel pressured to reduce their prescribing.  

“Unfortunately, a lot of people with chronic pain have learned that it’s a bit tenuous, that their doctors are feeling pressure, and if they want to maintain their access (to opioids), they need their PDMP (Prescription Drug Monitoring Program) and their drug tests to look the way they need to look, so their doctor can feel comfortable continuing to prescribe,” said co-author Steven Passik, PhD, VP of Scientific Affairs and Head of Clinical Data Programs at Millennium. “I do think they realize that they’re on a treatment and that access to it is not guaranteed.”   

Preliminary findings from the study were released today at PainWeek, an annual conference for pain management providers. The findings mirror those from another Millennium study earlier this year, which found that pain patients have lower rates of illicit drug use than patients being treated by other providers.     

“If your main way of protecting people in pain from getting involved in substance abuse is to limit their access to opioids, there’s at least a hint here that’s not the right approach,” Passik told PNN. “It’s not a definitive statement by any stretch of the imagination, but it’s an approach to patient safety that leaves a bit to be desired.”  

Another recent study at the University of Texas also found that restricting access to opioids is “not a panacea” and may even lead to more overdoses.  Researchers found that in states that mandated PDMP use, opioid prescribing decreased as intended, but heroin overdose deaths rose 50 percent.

“Past research has shown that when facing restricted access to addictive substances, individuals simply seek out alternatives rather than limiting consumption,” said lead author Tongil Kim, PhD, an assistant professor of marketing at University of Texas at Dallas. “In our case, we measured overdose deaths as a proxy and found a substantial increase, suggesting that the policy unintentionally spurred greater substitution.”

Pain Patients Have Low Rates of Illicit Drug Use

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

Anti-opioid activists have long claimed that opioid medication is a gateway drug to heroin and other street drugs. That myth is so ingrained in the medical community that many pain patients are discriminated against by doctors and pharmacists, who suspect they are abusing their medication or using illicit drugs.

But a large new study by Millennium Health pokes a hole in that myth, finding that patients being treated in pain management practices are far less likely to use heroin, fentanyl, cocaine and methamphetamine than other patients.

The drug testing firm analyzed the lab results of two million urine tests from 2015 to 2021 – nearly 600,000 coming from pain patients -- and found that patients seeing primary care physicians, behavioral health doctors (psychiatrists and psychologists), or getting substance use disorder (SUD) treatment were significantly more likely to test positive for street drugs than patients of pain management providers.

SOURCE: MILLENNIUM HEALTH

“That’s one of the reasons why we decided to put this out there in the public domain, because it’s important. Because clearly there are differences across these groups,” said Eric Dawson, PharmD, Vice President of Clinical Affairs at Millennium Health.

For example, the positivity rate for fentanyl in urine samples is about 2% for pain management patients – a level that remained stable throughout the 6-year study period.

But Millennium found that for primary care and behavioral health patients, the positivity rate for fentanyl has ticked up to about 5 percent.

In patients getting SUD treatment, the positivity rate has skyrocketed to about 17 percent, no doubt a reflection of the growing presence of illicit fentanyl in street drugs.

Positivity rates for methamphetamine are also rising for most patients – but not for pain patients – while cocaine use has remained relatively flat. Positivity rates for heroin have declined steadily for all patients since 2015, according to Millennium.

“Generally speaking, the pain population that’s treated with opioids is an older population and uses illicit drugs at a very low rate,” said Steven Passik, PhD, VP of Scientific Affairs and Head of Clinical Data Programs at Millennium.

“Not only are they low, they remain low,” says Dawson. “So many of the other groups, over time their positivity rates are increasing. The pain population started low and remains low. And that says they are different than the other groups.”

What makes the findings even more striking is that they include the first two years of the covid pandemic, a time when stress, isolation and depression led many people to abuse drugs.

“But that did not happen in the pain patients. You can actually see that,” says Passik, who believes regular drug testing makes pain management patients less likely to take risks that might affect their healthcare. He thinks the Millennium study should be reviewed by both providers and policymakers to get a better understanding of people in pain.

“There isn’t that much data like this out there. I think it’s unique and very positive about this population. And I think that should be factored in when people are talking about access to opioids,” Passik told PNN.

In addition to fentanyl, heroin and other street drugs, the Millennium study also looked at positivity rates for marijuana, which have soared in recent years due to the legalization of medical and recreational cannabis in many states. By the end of 2021, the positivity rate for cannabis had reached nearly 32 percent for most patients. But, like the other drugs, cannabis use remained relatively low for pain patients.  

10 Reasons for Lawmakers To Oppose Limits on Rx Opioids

By Matthew Giarmo, PhD, Guest Columnist

1. Government Leaders Have a Choice

History may record one day that politicians and policymakers had a choice: They could champion the rights of 50 million Americans in chronic pain who desperately need a hero or they could be scorned for unnecessary cruelty and playing politics with people's pain.

The gathering storm is a backlash to the heightened regulatory and surveillance culture that has commandeered our nation’s healthcare system. It will not go unanswered. We no longer allow government into our bedrooms to police sexual behavior, gender identity and abortion rights. And we sure as hell will not allow government to spy on our doctors and medicine cabinets.

The government has blood on its hands from chronic pain patients resorting to suicide and street drugs after being abandoned by physicians who fear imprisonment by DEA agents who have no medical training or patient knowledge.

2. Opioids Misunderstood

Opioids are not only cheap; they are uniquely effective in restoring quality and functionality to millions of Americans who suffer from chronic or intractable pain. Opioid medication is safe when used properly, while long term use of ibuprofen and acetaminophen is toxic.

When we examine data on efficacy, toxicity, dependency, teen use, mortality and preventable causes of death, opioids do not warrant consideration as a threat to national health security. There is no opioid "crisis" or "epidemic."

I believe any determination to the contrary is a byproduct of inappropriate agency regulation (the 2016 CDC Opioid Guideline) and biased and conflicted advice from an extremist sect (Physicians for Responsible Opioid Prescribing) operating at the fringes of the medical community. The growing realization among doctors and patients is that "the fools are in charge" and "the foxes are guarding the hen house.”

Inappropriate prescribing that resulted in spikes of opioid abuse, such as pill mills and dentists disposed to trade 60 Percocet for wisdom teeth, ended several years ago. So did the marketing of extended-release formulations like OxyContin.

3. Junk Science

You may have been seduced by contrived overdose statistics (“500,000 people died from an opioid overdose”) that remain viral, despite the CDC itself acknowledging that 48% of deaths due to illicit fentanyl were erroneously counted as deaths due to a prescription opioid.

When we break down the politically convenient and alarmist statistics into deaths involving polysubstance use, suicide, reckless dosing out of frustration with pain, and drugs that were never prescribed to the decedent, the 125 deaths per day initially claimed by the CDC looks more like 5 deaths a day.

It would be more appropriate to attribute these fatalities more to pain itself than to pain medication, as well as drug experimentation, depression or diversion. Most of those who abused OxyContin reported never having a valid script. That is no basis on which to separate chronic pain patients from their medication.

But as long as an opioid shows up in a post-mortem toxicology screen, deaths are being classified as an opioid overdose; even when the opioid was one of several drugs consumed, when it cannot be determined whether the opioid was consumed in a medically relevant way, and even when the decedent was hit by a bus.

The overdose numbers had to be gamed, which makes sense when you consider that in 70% of cases, rulings on causes of death are made before the toxicology data is even available. Especially when you consider that those sky-high opioid fatalities seem out of step with the low rates of dependency (6% for chronic pain patients, 0.7% for acute pain and less than 0.1% for post surgical pain).

As a social psychologist, government analyst and research critic, I have identified about a dozen ways the science of opioids has been corrupted for financial gain, professional survival or advancement, and in service of a political cause.

One example is the claim that “80% of heroin users first misused prescription opioids.” That canard was violently ripped from a SAMHSA report and is misleadingly used to imply that 4 in 5 patients prescribed painkillers eventually use heroin. On the contrary, less than 4% of prescription opioid users turn to heroin. 

Incidentally, 67% of heroin addicts reported that their prior use of prescription painkillers had not occurred in the past year. Hardly seems like an irresistible urge to me.

4. Not Knowing When to Say When

Much like Sen. Joe McCarthy wreaked havoc on a nation with reckless claims about communist infiltrators, opioid McCarthyism is killing our most vulnerable and innocent populations -- veterans, senior citizens, persons with disabilities and the chronically ill.

Regulations complicate and delay the dispensing of legal scripts for these patients at the pharmacy, creating a "what's-it-gonna-be-this-time" syndrome in which patients endure a new burden every month.

Prescriptions for opioid painkillers have declined 40% since 2011, while overdoses on heroin and illicit fentanyl have soared. As National Public Radio falsely reported that doctors are “still flooding the U.S. with opioid prescriptions,” solid research offers definitive evidence that prescriptive austerity is helping to drive the spike in overdose fatalities.

A recently published study found that among 113,000 patients on long-term opioid therapy, the incidence of a non-fatal overdose among those subjected to tapering was 68% higher than those who were not tapered. The incidence of a mental health crisis such as depression, anxiety or attempted suicide was 128% higher among those who were tapered.  

5. The Inherent Absurdity of MME Thresholds

Forced tapering is undertaken to achieve an arbitrary one-size-fits-all threshold that makes no sense. There is no basis in science or nature for determining how much medication is too much. As long as patients are started at the lowest effective dose and titrated up gradually, as dictated by unresolved pain and any side effects, there is no limit to how much a patient might need 5, 10 or 15 years downstream.

Arbitrary dose limits defined in terms of morphine milligram equivalents (MME) ignore the importance of individual differences in medical diagnosis, treatment history (tolerance), and enzyme-mediated (genetic) sensitivity to pain and to pain medication. MME thresholds falsely assume that all opioids are equal and impact all patients the same way.

MMEs may be convenient for bureaucrats and expedient for politicians, but their scientific utility -- and by extension the CDC guideline itself -- is nullified by differences in the half-life of different drugs, differences in their absorption into the bloodstream, and differences in their rate of metabolism in different people.

6. Without Liberty or Justice for All

For arguments sake, let us suppose that we lose as many souls to prescription opioids as we do to car accidents. What have we done to rein in this other preventable cause of death? We create laws requiring safety belts, air bags, annual inspections, and compliance with speed limits. We do not criminalize the sale, operation and distribution of Honda Civics. We do not restrict the number of cars on the road. And we do not drop DEA teams behind enemy lines in Detroit.

But at a time when Americans are growing weary with a drug war that has lasted longer than our wars in Vietnam and Afghanistan -- and when Americans have softened their views on marijuana -- the DEA, perhaps in a desperate search for new bogeymen, expanded its theater of operations to treat pharmaceutical companies as drug cartels, doctors as dealers, and patients as addicts.

As we speak, your state is creating a mini-DEA inside its Department of Health or Medical Board that weaponizes the Prescription Drug Monitoring Program as a surveillance and detection tool, to spy on and red flag each patient and doctor whose script or “NARX Score” exceeds an arbitrary limit for which no basis in science or nature exists.

Think about all the sacred ideals we’ve abandoned to support our failed effort to bring a specious “opioid crisis” under control: the Constitution; a compassionate care system that had been the cornerstone of a civilization; a physician’s right to exercise clinical judgement; their right to due process; and a system of individualized, patient-centered care.

Government is obliged to ease civil unrest -- not foment it. But federal and state governments are hell bent on driving wedges between groups of stakeholders: physicians against patients; patients and physicians against pharmacists; patients against the public at large; physicians against their own office staffs; patients against employers; and physicians against medical boards. That is McCarthyism.  

All too commonplace on social media are acrimonious altercations between the grieving survivors of overdose victims and those caring for friends or family living with chronic pain. There's no reason we can't simultaneously provide the medicine, assistance and requisite sympathy to Americans who need addiction treatment and Americans who need pain medication -- especially when we consider that only 6% of chronic pain patients prescribed painkillers develop dependency.

The NARX Score itself, a deeply flawed hotdog of a composite that ostensibly assigns a number to a person based on their supposed risk of overdose, is morally and intellectually offensive. It does little to assuage those who use the term “pain patient genocide" and compare it to the demonization and murder of 11 million Jews, gypsies, homosexuals and criminals in Germany during the Second World War.

7. Opioid Crisis As a Scapegoat

Have we as a nation become more addicted to the "opioid crisis" than we ever were to opioids? For our nation’s leaders, opioids have become an irresistible diversion and scapegoat. It’s a means to repair a tarnished reputation (see Chris Christie) or display rare bipartisan unity to disarm a cynical and frustrated constituency.

In a striking reversal of cause and effect, government officials would have you blame opioids for the loss of jobs, identities, finances and relationships that have come to define life in 21st century America. In reality, we have two crises: a crisis of chronic pain estimated to involve 50 million Americans and a psychosocial crisis linked to the combined effects of economic disparity, globalization, automation, immigration, social media, terrorism, pandemics, and the dissolution of national unity into political sects and interests.

Opioid critics like to point out that opioids only mask painful symptoms rather than address the underlying cause. But isn’t that what government officials do when they attempt to conceal or compensate for the true ills of our nation by playing whack-a-mole with prescription pain relievers?

8. The One-Track Mind

Last year a record 93,331 Americans died of a drug overdose, the vast majority involving illicit fentanyl and other street drugs, not prescription opioids.

We observed a 190% rise in cocaine overdoses and a 500% rise in overdoses involving methamphetamine. We have also seen increases in the abuse of alcohol and OTC substances like dextramorphan, diphenhydramine, ibuprofen, acetaminophen and loperamide, a drug used to treat diarrhea.

How many of those deaths can we blame on Purdue Pharma? Will collecting billions of dollars in settlement money from opioid distributors solve our overdose problem? Or will it enrich plaintiff law firms just like the Tobacco Settlement did?

9. An Unfair Fight

I was inspired to write this by a family -- MY family. I know what it’s like to see a patient’s treatment plan forcibly altered and how it affects not only the patient, but all those who cherish and depend on them. Children get less attention. Spouses assume a greater share of household responsibilities. Employers deal with lower productivity.

This memo and a lengthier report will go out to families and physicians across the country with the aid of hundreds of patient-advocate communities I mobilized on social media platforms. Still, it hardly seems like a fair fight. The meek of the Earth versus an army of federally funded Type A regulators and paid expert witnesses falling over one another to advance their careers and pad their bank accounts by making life harder for people to treat their pain.

10. Taking the Battle to the States

You may decide against reading my report, but you will likely hear about it from peers, co-workers or constituents in the months to come. It is making the rounds. State legislatures. Medical boards. Medical associations. Patient advocacy groups. Defense attorneys (I was twice asked to serve as an expert witness by physician counsel). Federal agencies.

In the past two weeks, my associates have disseminated my report to the American Medical Association, AARP, federal and state officials, members of Congress and the White House.

I invite readers to do the same by downloading my report, “There Is No Crisis.” We’re just getting started.

Matthew Giarmo, PhD, is a social psychologist who has worked with terminally ill cancer patients. Matthew authors research-based reports in social phenomena, including the impact on workforce development of the Software Revolution and Great Recession, and the degradation of science by professional and institutional requirements. 

Are Prescription Opioids Really the Same As Heroin?

By Roger Chriss, PNN Columnist

The new HBO documentary “The Crime of the Century” is garnering a lot of attention for its take on the opioid crisis. In the documentary, Dr. Andrew Kolodny, the founder of Physicians for Responsible Opioid Prescribing (PROP), claims that prescription opioids are “essentially heroin pills.”

This is a common claim. Dr. Corey Waller, an addiction and emergency medicine expert, recently testified in a West Virginia lawsuit that opioid drugs and heroin are "identical."

"The brain doesn't know the drug you just gave it," Waller said. "It just knows the action that it has."

But it’s not quite that simple. There are two standard ways to look at drugs: pharmacology and epidemiology. The former takes into account a drug’s chemical structure and mechanism of action in the human body. The latter looks at the public health effects of a drug.

Opioid Pharmacology

The National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA) explains that heroin is a type of opioid made from poppy plants that is “chemically similar and can produce similar effects” as prescription pain relievers.

But chemically similar does not mean functionally identical. Small chemical differences affect how quickly a drug is absorbed, how strongly it acts and how long it remains in the body. The specific action of each opioid drug at the various mu, kappa, and delta opioid receptors also varies, creating differing levels of analgesia and other effects.

For example, oxycodone’s chemical composition makes it a particularly powerful opioid.

“What's unique about oxycodone relative to other opioids is the speed at which it's presented to the brain,” anesthesiologist Dr. Heath McAnally explained in a recent MedPage Today op-ed. “And in that regard, oxycodone reigns supreme (rivaling heroin), likely having to do with the fact that oxycodone's transport across the blood-brain barrier is considerably faster and more efficient than that of other opioids.”

Further, oxycodone is more active at kappa opioid receptors, possibly explaining the harder withdrawal that some people experience. It also acts more strongly on mu receptors, which may explain its greater euphoria. Morphine, by contrast, is more prone to histamine effects like itching and is associated with less positive feelings.

The opioid tramadol is also a serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, while tapentadol is a norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor. Some people do not tolerate tramadol well, and there is less abuse of tapentadol than other prescription opioids. They are very different than heroin.

Opioid Epidemiology

A 2013 study found that about 80% of heroin users first misused prescription opioids, but in more recent years heroin has become the first opioid people abuse in many cases. Heroin’s so-called “capture rate” -- a proxy for the addictiveness of a substance -- is thought to be about 25 percent.

By contrast, NIDA says about 8-12% of people on long-term prescription opioids develop some form of opioid use disorder, and less than 4% of people who misuse prescription pain medication start using heroin within five years.

Among prescription opioids, oxycodone is the most abused. According to a 2020 DEA report, the diversion and abuse of oxycodone “has become a major public health problem in recent years.”

Street prices and illicit sales are similarly revealing. Prescription opioids sold illegally are not all priced the same, nor treated with the same level of interest. There is a clear hierarchy, with oxycodone on top.

But the key driver in the overdose crisis today is illicit fentanyl made in clandestine labs and sold illegally on the street or online, often adulterating heroin or used in counterfeit oxycodone or Xanax pills.

Illicit fentanyl’s impact on the U.S. overdose crisis cannot be overstated. Other opioids, including heroin, do not come close to its level of abuse, addiction and death. Meanwhile, countries like Germany have not seen an opioid crisis, even though Germans are the second largest consumers of opioids worldwide.

It is also important to note that prescription opioids are medically essential, not only for pain management but also when sedating Covid-19 patients for ventilator use, for controlling air hunger in congestive heart failure, and for hospice and palliative care. Prescription opioids are medically useful in ways that heroin is not.

The claim that prescription opioids are identical to heroin does not hold up well. It obscures important information about opioid pharmacology and epidemiology. It may make a good soundbite, but it doesn’t shed light on the risks of opioids or how to address the overdose crisis.

Roger Chriss lives with Ehlers Danlos syndrome and is a proud member of the Ehlers-Danlos Society. Roger is a technical consultant in Washington state, where he specializes in mathematics and research. 

Study Debunks Theory About Rx Opioids Leading to Heroin Use

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

Anti-opioid activists have long claimed that opioid pain medication is a gateway drug to heroin, often citing a 2013 study that found about 80% of heroin users had first misused prescription opioids. The gateway drug theory soon became doctrine in the national debate over opioids.

“The connection between prescription opioid abuse and heroin use is clear, with 80% of new heroin abusers starting their opioid addiction by misusing prescription medications,” the DEA claims.

The 80% figure sounds alarming, but it is misleading. Only about 5% of people who misuse opioid medication switch to heroin, according to the National Institute of Drug Abuse. The vast majority of people who use prescription opioids responsibly never try street drugs.

A new study of heroin users in Oregon, published in the Journal of Addiction Medicine, adds some much needed context to the claim that prescription opioids are gateway drugs.

Researchers looked at a database of over 10,000 people being treated for opioid use disorder, and identified 624 individuals who started using heroin between 2015 and 2017. About half (49%) had filled a prescription for opioids in the year before heroin initiation.

Forty-nine percent having a valid opioid prescription might seem alarming too, until you look at what else the new heroin users had in common. Compared to a control group, many were already showing signs of diversion and substance abuse. They were more likely to have multiple prescribers and pharmacies, and to have prescriptions for other controlled substances, such as benzodiazepines and buprenorphine (Suboxone).

Importantly, 41% had stopped using opioid medication prior to their use of heroin; only 13% had an opioid prescription longer than 90 days; and only 7% were on high daily doses of 90 MME (morphine milligram equivalent) or more – which was about the same as the control group. This suggests that pain medication plays only a minor role, if any, on the path to heroin.

“To our knowledge, this is the first study to quantify patterns of prescription opioid (use) preceding self-reported heroin initiation,” wrote lead author Daniel Hartung, PharmD, an Associate Professor of Pharmacy at Oregon State University. “Although prescription opioid use commonly preceded self-reported heroin initiation, long-term opioid therapy was not common.”

“The take home message for me is that, in contrast to what has been purported by some individuals, the use of long-term opioids does not increase risk of using heroin,” says Dr. Lynn Webster, a PNN columnist and past president of the American Academy of Pain Medicine. “They also report that doses above 90 MME did not increase the risk of using heroin.

“This study underscores that prescription opioids are not a gateway to heroin use. The use of prescription opioids is less of a factor that leads to any drug abuse than the genetics and environment of the person who abuses opioids.” 

Hartung and his colleagues cautioned that the gateway drug theory should not be used to forcibly taper patients off opioid medication, which might lead to “unintended harms” such as overdoses.

“Although the harms of long-term opioid therapy are well-described, emerging evidence is beginning to suggest risks associated with discontinuation or disruption of long-term therapy,” they said. “There remains an urgent need to identify factors that predict transition to heroin as well as delineate the adverse sequelae of rapid or forced de-escalation of chronic opioid therapy.”

Fentanyl and Heroin Use Rise During Pandemic

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

The use of illicit fentanyl and heroin rose dramatically during the first two months of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a large new study by Quest Diagnostics. Misuse of hydrocodone, morphine and some other opioid medications also increased.

The study adds to growing signs that Americans are turning to potent illicit drugs to cope with the stress and economic disruption caused by the pandemic.

“It’s the social isolation, the depression, the anxiety, stress, job loss, the loss of health insurance and the election. All these things that add stress to our lives are driving people to increase use of alcohol at home and, in the case of this study, drug misuse,” said co-author Harvey Kaufman, MD, Senior Medical Director for Quest Diagnostics. 

Kaufman and his colleagues analyzed data from over 872,000 urine drug tests, comparing samples taken before the pandemic to those taken from March 15 to May 14, 2020. The urine samples came largely from people undergoing substance abuse treatment or were prescribed opioids and other controlled substances, and are not representative of the population at large.

Interestingly, while the rate of drug misuse remained largely the same before and during the pandemic – about 49 percent – there were notable shifts in the type of drugs being misused.

Drug positivity rates increased by 44% for heroin and 35% for non-prescribed fentanyl, a synthetic opioid that is 50 to 100 times more potent than morphine. Positivity rates for non-prescribed opiate medication (hydrocodone, hydromorphone, codeine and morphine) rose by 10 percent. There were no significant changes in the misuse of oxycodone and tramadol. 

Fentanyl was frequently found in urine samples that tested positive for amphetamines (89%), benzodiazepines (48%), cocaine (34%), and opiates (39%). The abuse of multiple substances in combination with fentanyl has been a growing problem for years, but Quest researchers were surprised by how much it has accelerated.

“It’s shocking that something could move that quickly. It’s been well underway for half a dozen years, but the pandemic supercharged it,” Kaufman told PNN.

Gabapentin Misuse

One surprising detail in the Quest study is that the nerve drug gabapentin (Neurontin) is being misused more often than any other prescription drug. Non-prescribed gabapentin was found in nearly 11% of urine samples — second only to marijuana — in the first two months of the pandemic. While that’s down from pre-pandemic levels, it adds to a growing body of evidence that gabapentin is being overprescribed and abused.

POSITIVITY RATES FOR NON-PRESCRIBED DRUGS (MARCH-MAY 2020)

SOURCE: QUEST DIAGNOSTICS

Gabapentin was originally developed as an anti-convulsant, but it has been repurposed to treat chronic pain and is often prescribed off-label as an alternative to opioids. When taken as prescribed, there is little potential for gabapentin to be misused. However, when taken with muscle relaxants, opioids or anxiety medications, gabapentin can produce a feeling of euphoria or high.

A likely factor in the decline in gabapentin misuse during the pandemic is a drop in physician visits. Fewer visits mean fewer prescriptions, and gabapentin may have become less available for diversion.

Just as stay-at-home orders forced many patients to cancel or postpone healthcare appointments, it also led a significant decline in drug testing. Orders for lab tests by Quest dropped by as much as 70% in the first few weeks of the pandemic. They have since rebounded, but are still well below pre-pandemic levels.

“COVID-19 interrupted non-essential patient care, but it hasn’t stopped drug misuse,” co-author Jeffrey Gudin, MD, Senior Medical Advisor to Quest, said in a statement. “Given the psychological, social, and financial impacts of the COVID-19 crisis, more efforts are needed to ensure that patients are taking medications as prescribed. While the nation focuses on the pandemic, we must not lose sight of the ongoing drug misuse epidemic, which continues to kill upwards of 70,000 Americans each year.” 

After briefly declining in 2018, drug overdoses began rising again in 2019. According to one preliminary study, drug overdoses are up about 17 percent so far this year.

Nearly 85% of U.S. Overdose Deaths Linked to Street Drugs

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

A new report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that the vast majority of drug overdose deaths in the United States involve illicit fentanyl and other street drugs.  

The study, reported in the CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, analyzed data from 24 states and the District of Columbia enrolled in the State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System (SUDORS) from January to June, 2019. SUDORS captures detailed information from toxicology reports and death scene investigations, and is considered more reliable than overdose data gathered from death certificates.

Among the 16,236 overdose deaths reported by SUDOR during the study period, illicitly manufactured fentanyl (IMF), heroin, cocaine or methamphetamine were involved 83.8% of deaths, either alone or in combination with other drugs. Nearly half of those deaths involved two or more illicit drugs.

About one in five overdoses involved prescription opioids such as hydrocodone, oxycodone, morphine and buprenorphine. The study did not indicate whether the medication was obtained legally or if it was borrowed, stolen or purchased illicitly. What is clear, however, is that street drugs are the primary driver of the U.S. overdose crisis.

% RATE OF DRUGS INVOLVED IN FATAL OVERDOSES (JAN-JUNE, 2019)

SOURCE: CDC

“The finding of this report that nearly 85% of overdose deaths involved IMFs, heroin, cocaine, or methamphetamine reflects rapid and continuing increases in the supply of IMFs and methamphetamine, coupled with illicit co-use of opioids and stimulants,” researchers reported.

More than two thirds (68.5%) of overdose victims were male, and over half (53.3%) were 25 to 44 years of age; demographics that don’t fit the profile of most chronic pain patients, who are generally older and female.

NBER Report Blames Rx Opioids

The new CDC report is at odds with a working paper recently published by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a non-profit, private think tank. The NBER report largely blames prescription opioids for the U.S. overdose epidemic – not street drugs or so-called “deaths of despair” caused by rising social isolation and economic distress.  

“People have blamed all sorts of things, heroin from Mexico and fentanyl from China and economic decline and so on and so forth,” co-author Janet Currie, PhD, a professor of economics at Princeton University, told Yahoo Finance. “But really the issue is that a whole lot of people got addicted because they were prescribed pain medications which aren’t prescribed in the same way in other countries.”

Currie and co-author Hannes Schwandt, PhD, an economics professor at Northwestern University, say pharmaceutical companies aggressively marketed opioids at a time when doctors were being encouraged to treat pain as “the fifth vital sign.”

“We argue that the development and marketing of a new generation of prescription opioids sparked the epidemic and that provider behavior is still helping to drive it,” the NBER report states. “Prior to the marketing push, most doctors had believed that opioids were too addictive and dangerous for anyone except terminally ill patients. Aggressive marketing by pharmaceutical companies changed those perceptions: Sales of opioid pain killers quadrupled between 1999 and 2013, fueling the rise in overdose deaths.”

What Curry and Schwandt fail to mention is that opioid prescriptions have fallen by nearly 40% since 2013. And their report only briefly mentions the rising toll taken by illicit fentanyl and other street drugs.

Fatal drug overdoses fell in 2018, for the first time in nearly 30 years, but many signs indicate they are rising again and that the COVID-19 pandemic is making the crisis worse in the U.S. and Canada.   

Canada’s Chief Public Health Officer recently warned the pandemic is fueling another surge in drug deaths in Canada.

“Tragically, in many regions of the country, the COVID-19 pandemic is contributing to an increase in drug-related overdoses and deaths,” Dr. Theresa Tam said in a statement. “There are indications that the street drug supply is growing more unpredictable and toxic in some parts of the country, as previous supply chains have been disrupted by travel restrictions and border measures. Public health measures designed to reduce the impact of COVID-19 may increase isolation, stress and anxiety as well as put a strain on the supports for persons who use drugs.”

Did OxyContin's Reformulation Really Lead to More Heroin Use?

By Roger Chriss, PNN Columnist

A common belief in the opioid overdose crisis is that the reformulation of OxyContin in 2010 led to a large-scale shift to heroin. Seven years after making the pills hard-to-crush to discourage snorting or injecting, The Washington Post reported the abuse-deterrent reformulation had made OxyContin “the chief driver of the explosion in heroin overdose deaths.”

The primary source of this claim is a National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) paper that states “a substantial share of the dramatic increase in heroin deaths since 2010 can be attributed to the reformulation of OxyContin.”

The NBER paper used data from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) and the Drug Enforcement Administration to assess usage levels of OxyContin and other prescription opioids, and data from the National Vital Statistics System to measure overdose deaths.

The researchers found that “states with the highest initial rates of OxyContin misuse experienced the largest increases in heroin deaths.”

But this conclusion is now being challenged. A recent study in the journal Addiction Behavior looked at NSDUH data from 2005 through 2014 to evaluate the impact of the reformulation on individuals with a history of OxyContin misuse.

The results showed “no statistically significant effects of the reformulation” on prescription opioid misuse or heroin use. In fact, researchers found a “net reduction in the odds” of heroin initiation after the reformulation.

“Thus, the reformulation of OxyContin appears to have reduced prescription pain reliever misuse without contributing to relatively greater new heroin use among those who misused OxyContin prior to the reformulation,” the authors concluded.

Psych Congress also reported there was little evidence of a shift to heroin from prescription opioids, saying drug trafficking data “don't fully support the often-heard conclusion that efforts to limit access to prescription opioids led to a mass migration to heroin."

Murky Data

The reason for the different conclusions is not clear. But much of what is assumed about abuse-deterrent reformulation is not holding up. Last summer, STAT News reported that rates of OxyContin abuse were similar or higher three years after the drug was reformulated. According to one survey, less than 5 percent of long-term abusers gave up OxyContin, suggesting the reformulation didn’t accomplish much.

Data on heroin use also includes considerable uncertainty, and applying state-level data-sets to understand individual usage patterns is tricky. Plus, data on overdose fatalities can be hard to parse since many victims die with multiple drugs in their systems, and toxicology reporting varies by state.

Since OxyContin’s reformulation, six other opioid medications have been approved by the FDA with abuse deterrent properties, costing drug makers hundreds of millions of dollars in research and development expenses.

Figuring out what happens after a prescription opioid is reformulated is important. Current public health policy and prescribing practices are assuming risks and benefits based on limited evidence. If something different or perhaps more complex is happening, then we need to look harder and make changes.

The implications here are also important, including determining liability and damages in the opioid lawsuits, developing effective public health measures for addiction treatment and the overdose crisis, and creating better risk assessment for pain management.

The impacts of the OxyContin reformation may be smaller and more subtle than previously thought. If the new findings hold, then we may have to rethink the benefits of abuse-deterrent formulations and the trajectory of heroin use. In other words, we need to keep looking closely at the overdose crisis and not assume we have it fully figured out.

Roger Chriss lives with Ehlers Danlos syndrome and is a member of the Ehlers-Danlos Society. Roger is a technical consultant in Washington state, where he specializes in mathematics and research. 

Alcohol Deaths Double in U.S.

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

Alcohol related deaths in the U.S. have doubled in the past two decades, according to a new study that highlights an under-reported aspect of the overdose crisis: while deaths involving prescription opioids are declining, alcohol abuse appears to be increasing.

Researchers at the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA) found the number of death certificates mentioning alcohol more than doubled from 35,914 in 1999 to 72,558 in 2017.

By comparison, 17,029 deaths in 2017 involved a prescription opioid, according to CDC estimates.

“The current findings suggest that alcohol-related deaths involving injuries, overdoses and chronic diseases are increasing across a wide swath of the population. The report is a wakeup call to the growing threat alcohol poses to public health,” said NIAAA Director Dr. George Koob.

Nearly 1 million alcohol-related deaths were recorded between 1999-2017. About half the deaths resulted from chronic liver disease or overdoses on alcohol alone or with other drugs.

Researchers noted that alcohol-related deaths were increasing among people in almost every age, race and ethnic group. Their study is published in Alcoholism: Clinical & Experimental Research.

“Taken together, the findings of this study and others suggests that alcohol-related harms are increasing at multiple levels – from ED visits and hospitalizations to deaths. We know that the contribution of alcohol often fails to make it onto death certificates. Better surveillance of alcohol involvement in mortality is essential in order to better understand and address the impact of alcohol on public health,” said Koob.

Other drugs besides alcohol are increasingly involved in overdoses. A recent analysis of over one million urine drug tests conducted by Millennium Health found that positive results for illicit fentanyl rose by 333% since 2013, while positive rates for methamphetamine increased by 486 percent.

That study, published in JAMA Network Open, found that positive rates for heroin and cocaine peaked in 2016 and appear to be declining.

The analysis is similar to a 2019 report from the National Institute on Drug Abuse, which found that drug deaths involving prescription opioids and heroin have plateaued, while overdoses involving methamphetamine, cocaine and benzodiazepines have risen sharply.

Unreliable Data

Just how reliable is the federal data on drug use and overdoses? Not very, according to another study published in Drug and Alcohol Dependence.

Troy Quast, PhD, an associate professor at the University of Florida’s College of Public Health, compared overdose data from the Florida Medical Examiners Commission (FMEC) to drug deaths in a CDC database. Quast found the federal data significantly undercounted overdose deaths in Florida linked to cocaine, benzodiazepines, amphetamines and other drugs.

Florida medical examiners are required by law to wait for complete toxicology results before submitting an official cause of death to FMEC. It often takes weeks or months to identify the exact drug or drugs that cause an overdose. By contrast, the CDC data is based on death certificates filed by coroners and other local authorities, which often don't include detailed toxicology reports. This causes significant differences between the two databases.

Between 2003 and 2017, roughly one-in-three overdose deaths in Florida involving illicit or prescription opioids were not reported by the federal government. The discrepancy wasn’t limited to opioids. Quast also found that nearly 3,000 deaths in Florida caused by cocaine were not included in the CDC database. Overdose deaths involving benzodiazepines and amphetamines were also significantly under-reported.

"The CDC data are widely reported in the news and referenced by politicians, which is problematic since those estimates significantly undercount the true scope of the epidemic for specific drugs," said Quast. "The rate of under-reporting for all overdose deaths in Florida is near the national average, so the problem is not to the state."

This isn’t the first time the reliability of CDC data has been questioned. In 2018, CDC researchers admitted that many overdoses involving illicit fentanyl and other synthetic black market opioids were erroneously counted as prescription drug deaths. As result, federal estimates prior to 2017 "significantly inflate estimates" of prescription opioid deaths.

Even the adjusted estimates are imprecise, because the number of deaths involving diverted prescriptions or counterfeit drugs is unknown and drugs are not identified on 20% of death certificates. When the drugs are listed, many overdoses are counted multiple times by the government because more than one substance is involved.

The federal government is working to improve the collection of overdose data. Over 30 states are now enrolled in the CDC's Enhanced State Opioid Overdose Surveillance program, which seeks to improve overdose data by including toxicology reports and hospital billing records.

In 2017, the program reported that nearly 59 percent of overdose deaths involved illicit opioids like fentanyl and heroin, while 18.5% had both illicit and prescription opioids. Less than 18% tested positive for prescription opioids only.

A recent study of drug deaths in Massachusetts found that only 1.3% of overdose victims who died from an opioid painkiller had an active prescription for the drug – meaning the medication was probably diverted, stolen or bought on the street.  

U.S. Facing ‘Syndemic’ of Opioid Overdoses

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

The U.S. opioid crisis is a lot more complex than many people think. Instead of a single “epidemic” fueled by prescription opioids, researchers say there are three types of opioid epidemics occurring in different parts of the country simultaneously.

A team of researchers at Iowa State University studied death certificate data from all 3,079 counties in the lower 48 states and found distinct regional differences in the opioids that caused the most overdoses.

Cities in New England have been hit hard by illicit fentanyl and other synthetic opioids; the Rockies and Midwest are plagued by heroin; and a prescription opioid epidemic still lingers in many rural counties in the South and West.

A fourth epidemic – dubbed a “syndemic” by researchers – involves multiple drugs and exists in counties where the opioid crisis first erupted, particularly in mid-sized cities in Kentucky, Ohio and West Virginia. 

About 25 percent of all U.S. counties fall into one of these epidemic categories.   

“Our results show that it’s more helpful to think of the problem as several epidemics occurring at the same time rather than just one,” said co-author David Peters, PhD, an associate professor of sociology at Iowa State University. “And they occur in different regions of the country, so there’s no single policy response that’s going to address all of these epidemics. There needs to be multiple sets of policies to address these distinct challenges.”

LEADING CAUSE OF OPIOID OVERDOSES

Overdose deaths linked to prescription opioids peaked nationwide in 2013 and have fallen in recent years. But researchers say some counties with poor economies continue to struggle with prescription drugs. Over one-third of the counties in Tennessee, Oklahoma, Nevada and Utah fall into this category.

“We find that prescription-related epidemic counties, whether rural or urban, have been ‘left behind’ the rest of the nation. These communities are less populated and more remote, older and mostly white, have a history of drug abuse, and are former farm and factory communities that have been in decline since the 1990s. Overdoses in these places exemplify the ‘deaths of despair’ narrative,” researchers reported in the journal Rural Sociology.

“By contrast, heroin and opioid syndemic counties tend to be more urban, connected to interstates, ethnically diverse, and in general more economically secure. The urban opioid crisis follows the path of previous drug epidemics, affecting a disadvantaged subpopulation that has been left behind rather than the entire community.” 

The study found heroin overdose deaths clustered along two major corridors, one linking El Paso to Denver and another linking Texas and Chicago. Those findings correspond with known drug routes used by cartels smuggling heroin into the U.S. from Mexico.

The study only looked at death certificate data up to 2016, missing the full impact of the CDC opioid guideline, as well as the widening scope of the fentanyl and counterfeit drug crisis. As PNN has reported, hundreds of people have died on the west coast this year after ingesting counterfeit oxycodone laced with fentanyl.

“We are waiting to obtain the 2017 and 2018 data from CDC, but I expect the number of Rx opioid epidemic counties have transitioned to the synthetic+Rx epidemic and the opioid syndemic,” Peters told PNN in an email. “Fentanyl mixtures are replacing Rx pills and heroin in many places, mainly because fentanyl analogs are cheap to produce and generate more profits for drug traffickers.”

Given the expanding nature of the opioid crisis, Peters and his colleagues say tighter regulation of opioid prescribing and dispensing will have little effect on overdoses. The same is true for law enforcement efforts to stop drug traffickers and smuggling.

Instead they recommend expanding access to addiction treatment, as well as long-term investment in struggling communities to reduce both economic despair and the demand for drugs.  

Rx Drug Databases Linked to Heroin Deaths

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

Prescription drug monitoring programs (PDMPs) in the U.S. are often promoted as critical tools in preventing opioid abuse and addiction. But a new study suggests that some PDMPs may be having the unintended effect of driving pain patients to street drugs such as heroin.

PDMPs in 49 states (the one exception is Missouri) allow physicians and pharmacists to consult a drug database to see if patients are “doctor shopping” or getting too many opioid prescriptions. The databases are also used by law enforcement agencies to identify doctors who prescribe high levels of opioid medication.  

A team of researchers reported in the International Journal of Drug Policy that there was a “consistent, positive, and significant association” between the adoption of PDMPs and fatal heroin overdoses. By the third year of a state adopting a PDMP, there was a 22% overall increase in heroin fatalities.

The increase was not uniform across all PDMPs.  States with “Proactive” PDMPs, which are more likely to flag suspicious activity by doctors and patients and report them to law enforcement, had a slight decline in heroin overdoses, while states with weaker PDMPs had significant increases in heroin deaths.

“The study just shows that heroin is an alternative to prescription pain medicine,” says John Lilly, DO, a Missouri physician who opposes PDMPs. “The harder it is to get prescription pain medicine, the more heroin deaths and presumably heroin use occurs. Market forces at work. Heroin is not the big alternative. It’s illicit fentanyl.”

It's not the first time researchers have found mixed results on the effectiveness of PDMPs. A 2018 study also found an increase in heroin deaths associated with PDMPs, along with a decline in overdoses linked to prescription opioids.

"It's pretty striking that this is the second study where we have found that PDMPs with robust features such as sending unsolicited alerts about outlying prescribing and dispensing patterns to PDMP users, and providing more open access to PDMP data, are associated with a small decline in opioid overdose deaths," said senior author Magdalena Cerdá, DrPH, an associate professor and director of the Center for Opioid Epidemiology and Policy at NYU Langone Health.

"In our prior study we found that these types of PDMPs were associated with a decline in prescription opioid overdose deaths, and this new study suggests Proactive PDMPs may also have a downstream protective effect on heroin overdose risk."

Cerdá and her colleagues believe PDMPs that aggressively flag and report suspicious activity will help stop inappropriate prescribing sooner and better identify patients in need of addiction treatment, preventing their transition to heroin. 

“To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to identify specific classes of PDMP characteristics that are most strongly associated with changes in rates of fatal heroin poisonings,” said lead author Silvia Martins, MD, an associate professor of epidemiology at Columbia Mailman School of Public Health. “We believe those authorized to access the data should be trained to protect individual privacy and confidentiality and ensure that it is used only to improve care for the patient.”

DEA Sues Colorado for Access to PDMP

Patient privacy is at issue in an unusual lawsuit filed last week by the Drug Enforcement Administration against Colorado’s Board of Pharmacy. The DEA subpoenaed the board to release patient data from Colorado’s PDMP to assist in the investigation of two pharmacies. But the state refused to comply, citing privacy concerns.

“The Department of Regulatory Agencies is committed to combating the opioid epidemic that remains a devastating issue for many Colorado communities,” spokeswoman Jillian Sarmo said in an email to the Colorado Sun. “We continue to work with our partners in other agencies in this fight, but we have an obligation to do so in a targeted and thoughtful manner that ensures the privacy of the hundreds of thousands of individual patients in the state whose personal prescription records have no connection to any criminal activity and whose disclosure has no relevance to any criminal investigation.”

Also named in the DEA lawsuit is Appriss, Inc., a private company that Colorado and dozens of other states use to collect and maintain their PDMP data. If a federal judge rules in favor of the DEA in Colorado, it could set a legal precedent that would force Appriss to release prescription data from other states.

“We are taking this action as part of our office’s efforts to aggressively pursue law enforcement investigations of anyone who may be breaking the law,” U.S. Attorney Jason Dunn said in a statement.  “We are disappointed with the refusal to comply with these lawful subpoenas, a refusal that has forced us to seek aid from the court in getting the information we need to carry out important law enforcement investigations aimed at combating the prescription drug abuse epidemic.” 

A recent study undermines much of the association between overdoses and prescription opioids that are obtained legally. Researchers say only 1.3% of overdose victims in Massachusetts had an active prescription for the opioid that killed them — meaning PDMPs would have little value in preventing the other 98.7% of deaths.

1 in 4 Counterfeit Pills Have Lethal Dose of Fentanyl

By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

Illicit drug users who buy prescription pills online or off the street are playing a dangerous game of Russian Roulette, according to a new laboratory analysis by the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration.

The DEA found that about one of every four counterfeit pills (27%) have a potentially lethal dose of fentanyl, a synthetic opioid that is 80-100 times stronger than morphine.

Counterfeit pills laced with illicit fentanyl are appearing across the country and have been linked to thousands of deaths. Many of the overdoses involve blue pills stamped with an “M” and a “30” – distinctive markings for 30mg fake oxycodone tablets known on the street as “Mexican Oxy” or “M30.”

Based on a sampling of 106 tablets seized nationwide between January and March 2019, the DEA found that 29 of the pills contained at least 2 mg of fentanyl, a potential lethal dose. At least one pill seized in California had 4.2 mg of fentanyl — more than twice a lethal amount.

“Capitalizing on the opioid epidemic and prescription drug abuse in the United States, drug trafficking organizations are now sending counterfeit pills made with fentanyl in bulk to the United States for distribution,” said DEA Acting Administrator Uttam Dhillon. “Counterfeit pills that contain fentanyl and fentanyl-laced heroin are responsible for thousands of opioid-related deaths in the United States each year.”

The DEA laboratory analysis found fentanyl in 21% of the heroin samples tested. Fentanyl is often added to illicit drugs to boost their potency.

‘Enough to Kill Entire Population of Ohio’

In recent months, there have been outbreaks of fentanyl-related overdoses around the country. Law enforcement agencies are also seizing larger amounts of fentanyl from drug traffickers.

In September, DEA agents found a pill press and five pounds of pure fentanyl in a San Diego apartment. Prosecutors said that was “enough to kill the city of San Diego” or about 1.5 million people.

That seizure was overshadowed a few weeks later, when 45 pounds of suspected fentanyl were seized in Montgomery County, Ohio. A Homeland Security agent said that was "enough to kill the entire population of Ohio, many times over."  

Public health officials in Seattle recently warned about a spike in fentanyl-related overdoses that killed at least 141 people in King County, including several teenagers. Parents and students are being warned in public service announcements not to consume any pill not directly obtained from a pharmacy or prescriber.

Last week health officials in Virginia predicted the state would have a record number of drug overdoses in 2019. Most of the 1,550 projected overdoses involve illicit fentanyl.

As in other parts of the country, fentanyl related deaths have surged in Virginia, while overdoses involving prescription opioids have remained relatively flat for over a decade.

“In 2015 statewide, the number of illicit opioids deaths surpassed prescription opioid deaths. This trend continued at a greater magnitude in 2016, 2017, and 2018,” the Virginia Department of Health said in its latest quarterly report. “There has not been a significant increase or decrease in fatal prescription opioid overdoses.”